Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 11.288598 12.542963 13.893782 15.459005 17.225708 19.161440 21.447554
2025-08-24 9.251658 10.952970 12.920180 15.372948 18.362955 21.906762 26.450624
2025-08-31 7.847347 9.795121 12.186015 15.359476 19.494951 24.747526 31.997698
2025-09-07 6.966281 9.102693 11.865287 15.740379 21.100951 28.350976 39.062891
2025-09-14 6.116415 8.308401 11.271498 15.630731 21.983803 31.066897 45.332185
2025-09-21 5.380233 7.557327 10.615837 15.307424 22.468065 33.228015 51.090061
2025-09-28 4.839780 7.006241 10.157655 15.179617 23.177616 35.765340 57.781759
2025-10-05 4.558311 6.793540 10.156582 15.719289 24.958106 40.184922 68.256478
2025-10-12 4.299957 6.581378 10.122031 16.184281 26.655379 44.680479 79.622729
2025-10-19 3.997932 6.265376 9.882901 16.271733 27.705334 48.184341 89.766608
2025-10-26 3.690820 5.908359 9.535633 16.124747 28.306018 50.938509 98.922608
2025-11-02 3.406933 5.561501 9.167770 15.892209 28.706416 53.349967 107.786551
2025-11-09 3.138131 5.222145 8.790419 15.618954 29.031892 55.737694 117.241239
2025-11-16 2.912214 4.937367 8.482261 15.440459 29.521879 58.539981 128.216003
2025-11-23 2.726608 4.707295 8.249870 15.378956 30.237541 61.923255 141.259767
2025-11-30 2.615028 4.600533 8.232365 15.734451 31.863915 67.533627 160.951759
2025-12-07 2.453205 4.386515 7.992195 15.611280 32.443571 70.879355 175.647174
2025-12-14 2.282573 4.141605 7.670114 15.281436 32.519031 73.056277 187.722852
2025-12-21 2.150377 3.959361 7.453873 15.150220 33.024380 76.340038 203.625415
2025-12-28 2.099384 3.930979 7.541518 15.686707 35.164271 84.053127 234.327080
2026-01-04 2.043380 3.887651 7.593922 16.149518 37.192403 91.840745 267.386464
2026-01-11 1.955663 3.772958 7.487151 16.236178 38.297150 97.354243 294.726747
2026-01-18 1.853916 3.621628 7.289693 16.089251 38.784429 101.245301 317.744686